The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on April 8 between 19–25°C under mostly cloudy skies from a lingering frontal system tied to recent Tomb Sweeping holiday instability, capping intensification potential through persistent moisture and mid-level clouds. Yet trader consensus favors 28°C (39%) and 29°C (36%), reflecting ensemble model spread—such as warmer GFS runs—and Taipei's urban heat island effect, which historically boosts city readings 2–4°C above rural stations like Songshan Airport used for resolution. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing and southerly winds; expect CWA updates tomorrow to refine as the system exits, with warming signaled for April 9–10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月8日の台北の最高気温は?
4月8日の台北の最高気温は?
28°C 23%
27℃ 20%
25℃ 19%
26℃ 19%
21°C以下
1%
22°C
11%
23℃
14%
24℃
18%
25℃
19%
26℃
19%
27℃
20%
28°C
23%
29°C
18%
30°C
15%
31℃以上
4%
28°C 23%
27℃ 20%
25℃ 19%
26℃ 19%
21°C以下
1%
22°C
11%
23℃
14%
24℃
18%
25℃
19%
26℃
19%
27℃
20%
28°C
23%
29°C
18%
30°C
15%
31℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's daytime high on April 8 between 19–25°C under mostly cloudy skies from a lingering frontal system tied to recent Tomb Sweeping holiday instability, capping intensification potential through persistent moisture and mid-level clouds. Yet trader consensus favors 28°C (39%) and 29°C (36%), reflecting ensemble model spread—such as warmer GFS runs—and Taipei's urban heat island effect, which historically boosts city readings 2–4°C above rural stations like Songshan Airport used for resolution. Key differentiators include exact cloud cover timing and southerly winds; expect CWA updates tomorrow to refine as the system exits, with warming signaled for April 9–10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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