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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?

Market icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?

4月 10

4月 10

80–85 87%

90+ 5.5%

<70 4.7%

85–90 4.4%

Polymarket
新規

80–85 87%

90+ 5.5%

<70 4.7%

85–90 4.4%

Polymarket
新規

<70

$129 Vol.

5%

70–75

$67 Vol.

2%

75–80

$96 Vol.

2%

80–85

$54 Vol.

87%

85–90

$17 Vol.

4%

90+

$17 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders price an 86.5% implied probability on the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 falling in the 80–85 range for Week 13 (ending April 4, 2026), driven by Week 12's official rate of 82.7—the third highest since 2010–2011 amid a severe season dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining weekly rates (0.8 per 100,000, down sharply), outpatient ILI at 2.6% (below baseline), and falling test positivity (9.8%) signal minimal Week 13 additions, with activity low in most regions. While reporting lags could prompt minor upward revisions, sustained downturns limit upside to 85–90 (4.8%) or beyond; lower bins are improbable given the entrenched cumulative. Expect FluView Week 13 data around April 10.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
音量
$380
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders price an 86.5% implied probability on the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 falling in the 80–85 range for Week 13 (ending April 4, 2026), driven by Week 12's official rate of 82.7—the third highest since 2010–2011 amid a severe season dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining weekly rates (0.8 per 100,000, down sharply), outpatient ILI at 2.6% (below baseline), and falling test positivity (9.8%) signal minimal Week 13 additions, with activity low in most regions. While reporting lags could prompt minor upward revisions, sustained downturns limit upside to 85–90 (4.8%) or beyond; lower bins are improbable given the entrenched cumulative. Expect FluView Week 13 data around April 10.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
音量
$380
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「80–85」で87%、次いで「90+」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「80–85」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「90+」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 13, 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。