Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Paris on April 8, with 24°C leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C and 22°C at 25% each, driven by ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing a high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe. This setup promises southerly airflow and above-average highs—climatological norms hover around 16°C for early April—potentially reaching mid-20s Celsius under clear skies, though divergent runs flag cloudier scenarios or frontal timing risks capping peaks nearer 20°C. Météo-France guidance aligns with mild conditions post recent unsettled weather through April 6, but daily model refreshes through April 7 will clarify steering patterns and insolation before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月8日のパリの最高気温は？
4月8日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 30%
20℃ 25%
22℃ 25%
23°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
18°C以下
13%
19℃
7%
20℃
25%
21℃
12%
22℃
25%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25℃
4%
26°C
4%
27℃
4%
28℃以上
2%
24°C 30%
20℃ 25%
22℃ 25%
23°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
18°C以下
$0 Vol.
13%
19℃
$0 Vol.
7%
20℃
$0 Vol.
25%
21℃
$0 Vol.
12%
22℃
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$27 Vol.
30%
25℃
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27℃
$0 Vol.
4%
28℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Paris on April 8, with 24°C leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C and 22°C at 25% each, driven by ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing a high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe. This setup promises southerly airflow and above-average highs—climatological norms hover around 16°C for early April—potentially reaching mid-20s Celsius under clear skies, though divergent runs flag cloudier scenarios or frontal timing risks capping peaks nearer 20°C. Météo-France guidance aligns with mild conditions post recent unsettled weather through April 6, but daily model refreshes through April 7 will clarify steering patterns and insolation before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$27終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Paris on April 8, with 24°C leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C and 22°C at 25% each, driven by ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing a high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe. This setup promises southerly airflow and above-average highs—climatological norms hover around 16°C for early April—potentially reaching mid-20s Celsius under clear skies, though divergent runs flag cloudier scenarios or frontal timing risks capping peaks nearer 20°C. Météo-France guidance aligns with mild conditions post recent unsettled weather through April 6, but daily model refreshes through April 7 will clarify steering patterns and insolation before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$27終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Paris on April 8, with 24°C leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C and 22°C at 25% each, driven by ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS showing a high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe. This setup promises southerly airflow and above-average highs—climatological norms hover around 16°C for early April—potentially reaching mid-20s Celsius under clear skies, though divergent runs flag cloudier scenarios or frontal timing risks capping peaks nearer 20°C. Météo-France guidance aligns with mild conditions post recent unsettled weather through April 6, but daily model refreshes through April 7 will clarify steering patterns and insolation before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問