Recent Météo-France bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a trader consensus around 14–15°C highs at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 5, driven by mostly cloudy conditions limiting diurnal heating during Easter Sunday. The narrow lead for 14°C (37%) over 15°C (30%) stems from model spread: persistent low-level stratus and weak southerly winds cap temperatures near seasonal norms (early April average ~13°C), while potential afternoon cloud breaks or stronger warm advection could push toward 15–16°C. Current upper-air patterns favor mild stability without extremes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates and Météo-France advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のパリの最高気温は?
4月5日のパリの最高気温は?
14℃ 37%
15°C 31%
16°C 19%
13℃ 10%
10°C以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
10%
14℃
37%
15°C
31%
16°C
19%
17°C
4%
18℃
4%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
1%
14℃ 37%
15°C 31%
16°C 19%
13℃ 10%
10°C以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
10%
14℃
37%
15°C
31%
16°C
19%
17°C
4%
18℃
4%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Météo-France bulletins and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a trader consensus around 14–15°C highs at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 5, driven by mostly cloudy conditions limiting diurnal heating during Easter Sunday. The narrow lead for 14°C (37%) over 15°C (30%) stems from model spread: persistent low-level stratus and weak southerly winds cap temperatures near seasonal norms (early April average ~13°C), while potential afternoon cloud breaks or stronger warm advection could push toward 15–16°C. Current upper-air patterns favor mild stability without extremes. Watch tomorrow's 00Z model updates and Météo-France advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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