Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 17°C amid a gradual warming trend. Recent observations through April 3 show persistent cool, cloudy conditions with highs of 12–15°C under northwest flows and scattered showers, but forecasts indicate a shift to southeast winds at 10–15 km/h and partial clearing (cloud cover ~30%), fostering mild spring-like conditions up to 19°C in suburbs. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon sun breaks versus lingering Atlantic moisture, where extended solar heating could boost 17–18°C odds while overcast skies favor 16°C; daily 12Z updates from ECMWF and Météo-France will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution at Charles de Gaulle Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
17°C 31%
16°C 26%
18°C 24%
15°C 18%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
13%
16°C
26%
17°C
31%
18°C
24%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 31%
16°C 26%
18°C 24%
15°C 18%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
13%
16°C
26%
17°C
31%
18°C
24%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 6, mirroring the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime highs near 17°C amid a gradual warming trend. Recent observations through April 3 show persistent cool, cloudy conditions with highs of 12–15°C under northwest flows and scattered showers, but forecasts indicate a shift to southeast winds at 10–15 km/h and partial clearing (cloud cover ~30%), fostering mild spring-like conditions up to 19°C in suburbs. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon sun breaks versus lingering Atlantic moisture, where extended solar heating could boost 17–18°C odds while overcast skies favor 16°C; daily 12Z updates from ECMWF and Météo-France will refine uncertainty ahead of resolution at Charles de Gaulle Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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