MetService's latest forecast update, issued this morning (April 4), projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 19°C and 20°C as co-leading outcomes at 23.5% and 19.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warmer-than-April average pattern (historical highs around 16°C), driven by northerly airflow advecting mild maritime air, but uncertainty arises from precipitation timing and cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18–19°C or allowing brief clearing for 21°C. Model ensembles show a tight 18–22°C spread, with daily updates from MetService and NIWA monitoring key for resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
21°C 26%
19°C 20%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
12%
21°C 26%
19°C 20%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
12°C or below
$905 Vol.
1%
13°C
$450 Vol.
1%
14°C
$461 Vol.
1%
15°C
$465 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$90 Vol.
26%
22°C or higher
$13 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update, issued this morning (April 4), projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 19°C and 20°C as co-leading outcomes at 23.5% and 19.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warmer-than-April average pattern (historical highs around 16°C), driven by northerly airflow advecting mild maritime air, but uncertainty arises from precipitation timing and cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18–19°C or allowing brief clearing for 21°C. Model ensembles show a tight 18–22°C spread, with daily updates from MetService and NIWA monitoring key for resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$2,385終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update, issued this morning (April 4), projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 19°C and 20°C as co-leading outcomes at 23.5% and 19.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warmer-than-April average pattern (historical highs around 16°C), driven by northerly airflow advecting mild maritime air, but uncertainty arises from precipitation timing and cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18–19°C or allowing brief clearing for 21°C. Model ensembles show a tight 18–22°C spread, with daily updates from MetService and NIWA monitoring key for resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,385終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETMetService's latest forecast update, issued this morning (April 4), projects a daytime high of 20°C at Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 19°C and 20°C as co-leading outcomes at 23.5% and 19.5% implied probabilities. This reflects a warmer-than-April average pattern (historical highs around 16°C), driven by northerly airflow advecting mild maritime air, but uncertainty arises from precipitation timing and cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 18–19°C or allowing brief clearing for 21°C. Model ensembles show a tight 18–22°C spread, with daily updates from MetService and NIWA monitoring key for resolution at Wellington International Airport station.
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