MetService's latest forecast update on April 3 projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly in the afternoon and a chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 17–19°C outcomes where 18°C leads at 35% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge fostering settled autumn conditions after cool mornings, with northerly flows advecting mild air masses typical for weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral per NIWA outlooks favoring near- or above-average temperatures. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover and shower development limiting peak insolation versus clearer skies enabling 19°C or higher; historical April maxima average 17–18°C. Traders await April 4 model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 33%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
11℃以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
28%
20°C
10%
21°C or higher
6%
18°C 33%
19°C 28%
17°C 22%
20°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
11℃以下
$682 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$907 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$479 Vol.
2%
16°C
$860 Vol.
7%
17°C
$488 Vol.
22%
18°C
$675 Vol.
33%
19°C
$597 Vol.
28%
20°C
$582 Vol.
10%
21°C or higher
$882 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 3 projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly in the afternoon and a chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 17–19°C outcomes where 18°C leads at 35% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge fostering settled autumn conditions after cool mornings, with northerly flows advecting mild air masses typical for weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral per NIWA outlooks favoring near- or above-average temperatures. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover and shower development limiting peak insolation versus clearer skies enabling 19°C or higher; historical April maxima average 17–18°C. Traders await April 4 model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$8,220終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 3 projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly in the afternoon and a chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 17–19°C outcomes where 18°C leads at 35% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge fostering settled autumn conditions after cool mornings, with northerly flows advecting mild air masses typical for weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral per NIWA outlooks favoring near- or above-average temperatures. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover and shower development limiting peak insolation versus clearer skies enabling 19°C or higher; historical April maxima average 17–18°C. Traders await April 4 model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,220終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETMetService's latest forecast update on April 3 projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 5 under partly cloudy skies with northerlies turning southeasterly in the afternoon and a chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 17–19°C outcomes where 18°C leads at 35% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge fostering settled autumn conditions after cool mornings, with northerly flows advecting mild air masses typical for weakening La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral per NIWA outlooks favoring near- or above-average temperatures. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover and shower development limiting peak insolation versus clearer skies enabling 19°C or higher; historical April maxima average 17–18°C. Traders await April 4 model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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