MetService's latest forecast, issued April 3 afternoon, projects a 20°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with developing northeasterlies, aligning closely with trader consensus where 20°C (25%) and 21°C (25.5%) lead amid genuine uncertainty. This reflects model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on above-average temperatures—versus April historical highs near 17°C—driven by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor milder autumn weather. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting insolation and potential northerly wind strengthening for extra warmth, versus showers from a nearby Tasman low pressure system capping peaks. Watch MetService's evening update and April 4 advisory for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
18%
20°C
23%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
8%
21°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
$294 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$419 Vol.
1%
15°C
$707 Vol.
1%
16°C
$86 Vol.
2%
17°C
$74 Vol.
4%
18°C
$184 Vol.
9%
19°C
$213 Vol.
18%
20°C
$99 Vol.
23%
21°C
$160 Vol.
26%
22°C
$200 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$132 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 3 afternoon, projects a 20°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with developing northeasterlies, aligning closely with trader consensus where 20°C (25%) and 21°C (25.5%) lead amid genuine uncertainty. This reflects model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on above-average temperatures—versus April historical highs near 17°C—driven by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor milder autumn weather. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting insolation and potential northerly wind strengthening for extra warmth, versus showers from a nearby Tasman low pressure system capping peaks. Watch MetService's evening update and April 4 advisory for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$2,568終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 3 afternoon, projects a 20°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with developing northeasterlies, aligning closely with trader consensus where 20°C (25%) and 21°C (25.5%) lead amid genuine uncertainty. This reflects model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on above-average temperatures—versus April historical highs near 17°C—driven by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor milder autumn weather. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting insolation and potential northerly wind strengthening for extra warmth, versus showers from a nearby Tasman low pressure system capping peaks. Watch MetService's evening update and April 4 advisory for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,568終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued April 3 afternoon, projects a 20°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with developing northeasterlies, aligning closely with trader consensus where 20°C (25%) and 21°C (25.5%) lead amid genuine uncertainty. This reflects model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on above-average temperatures—versus April historical highs near 17°C—driven by a fading La Niña transitioning to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor milder autumn weather. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting insolation and potential northerly wind strengthening for extra warmth, versus showers from a nearby Tasman low pressure system capping peaks. Watch MetService's evening update and April 4 advisory for refinements ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問