Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日の成都の最高気温は？
4月2日の成都の最高気温は？
21°C 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 Vol.
$101,259 Vol.
2026/04/02
17℃以下
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
はい
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃以上
いいえ
21°C 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 Vol.
$101,259 Vol.
2026/04/02
17℃以下
$8,928 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$6,683 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$11,036 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$11,569 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$13,122 Vol.
はい
22℃
$9,709 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$6,583 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$8,274 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$12,535 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$4,666 Vol.
いいえ
27℃以上
$8,155 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$101,259終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$101,259終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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