National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 69°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 2, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, well above seasonal normals of 54°F. Morning observations around 40°F are warming rapidly under southwesterly winds and warm air advection ahead of an approaching cold front with severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon. Model ensembles from NOAA align on peak heating in the upper 60s before cloud cover and gusty winds potentially limit further gains. Realistic challenges include early storm arrival suppressing diurnal heating or unforecasted upper-level cooling, though current satellite and radar data show minimal disruption to the warm sector, with final observations tracked via official KORD records through midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$180,174 Vol.
$180,174 Vol.
2026/04/02
29°F or below
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48°F or higher
Yes
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$180,174 Vol.
$180,174 Vol.
2026/04/02
29°F or below
$7,335 Vol.
No
30-31°F
$18,153 Vol.
No
32-33°F
$7,651 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$5,004 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$11,342 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$10,464 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$20,673 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$12,187 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$9,843 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$23,511 Vol.
No
48°F or higher
$54,012 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 69°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 2, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, well above seasonal normals of 54°F. Morning observations around 40°F are warming rapidly under southwesterly winds and warm air advection ahead of an approaching cold front with severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon. Model ensembles from NOAA align on peak heating in the upper 60s before cloud cover and gusty winds potentially limit further gains. Realistic challenges include early storm arrival suppressing diurnal heating or unforecasted upper-level cooling, though current satellite and radar data show minimal disruption to the warm sector, with final observations tracked via official KORD records through midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
音量
$180,174終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 69°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 2, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, well above seasonal normals of 54°F. Morning observations around 40°F are warming rapidly under southwesterly winds and warm air advection ahead of an approaching cold front with severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon. Model ensembles from NOAA align on peak heating in the upper 60s before cloud cover and gusty winds potentially limit further gains. Realistic challenges include early storm arrival suppressing diurnal heating or unforecasted upper-level cooling, though current satellite and radar data show minimal disruption to the warm sector, with final observations tracked via official KORD records through midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$180,174終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 69°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) on April 2, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, well above seasonal normals of 54°F. Morning observations around 40°F are warming rapidly under southwesterly winds and warm air advection ahead of an approaching cold front with severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon. Model ensembles from NOAA align on peak heating in the upper 60s before cloud cover and gusty winds potentially limit further gains. Realistic challenges include early storm arrival suppressing diurnal heating or unforecasted upper-level cooling, though current satellite and radar data show minimal disruption to the warm sector, with final observations tracked via official KORD records through midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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