Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a highest temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on April 2 at near certainty, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) observations and forecasts confirming daytime peaks around this mark under partly cloudy skies with sea breezes and high humidity limiting further warming. Mid-afternoon readings at nearby Bet Dagan station aligned with 25°C, while evening observations dropped to 16°C amid haze and isolated showers, consistent with early April climatology averaging 23-24°C highs. Model ensembles from IMS and AccuWeather (76°F high, or ~24.4°C) reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-day clearing boosting solar heating to 26°C, though declining solar angles and cloud persistence make this improbable as the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$84,974 Vol.
$84,974 Vol.
2026/04/02
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$84,974 Vol.
$84,974 Vol.
2026/04/02
20°C or below
$4,972 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,744 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,079 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,139 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,433 Vol.
No
25°C
$36,066 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$7,384 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,032 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,461 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,632 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,032 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a highest temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on April 2 at near certainty, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) observations and forecasts confirming daytime peaks around this mark under partly cloudy skies with sea breezes and high humidity limiting further warming. Mid-afternoon readings at nearby Bet Dagan station aligned with 25°C, while evening observations dropped to 16°C amid haze and isolated showers, consistent with early April climatology averaging 23-24°C highs. Model ensembles from IMS and AccuWeather (76°F high, or ~24.4°C) reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-day clearing boosting solar heating to 26°C, though declining solar angles and cloud persistence make this improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
音量
$84,974終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a highest temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on April 2 at near certainty, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) observations and forecasts confirming daytime peaks around this mark under partly cloudy skies with sea breezes and high humidity limiting further warming. Mid-afternoon readings at nearby Bet Dagan station aligned with 25°C, while evening observations dropped to 16°C amid haze and isolated showers, consistent with early April climatology averaging 23-24°C highs. Model ensembles from IMS and AccuWeather (76°F high, or ~24.4°C) reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-day clearing boosting solar heating to 26°C, though declining solar angles and cloud persistence make this improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$84,974終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a highest temperature of 25°C in Tel Aviv on April 2 at near certainty, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) observations and forecasts confirming daytime peaks around this mark under partly cloudy skies with sea breezes and high humidity limiting further warming. Mid-afternoon readings at nearby Bet Dagan station aligned with 25°C, while evening observations dropped to 16°C amid haze and isolated showers, consistent with early April climatology averaging 23-24°C highs. Model ensembles from IMS and AccuWeather (76°F high, or ~24.4°C) reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-day clearing boosting solar heating to 26°C, though declining solar angles and cloud persistence make this improbable as the resolution window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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