Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 23°C (39.5% implied probability) or 24°C (29.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 4, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast indicating partly cloudy to clear skies with hazy conditions and continued temperature moderation from recent drops observed on April 3. International models like those powering timeanddate.com and Weather.com align closely, projecting highs of 22–23°C amid light westerly winds (10–16 km/h) that enhance sea-breeze cooling along the Mediterranean coast, consistent with early April climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the NOAA measurement site for resolution. No precipitation is expected, but minor forecast divergences could arise from evolving haze or wind shifts; monitor IMS updates through midday April 4 for potential adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
23°C 41%
24°C 32%
22°C 12%
25°C 6.0%
$16,891 Vol.
$16,891 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
41%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 41%
24°C 32%
22°C 12%
25°C 6.0%
$16,891 Vol.
$16,891 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
12%
23°C
41%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 23°C (39.5% implied probability) or 24°C (29.5%) in Tel Aviv on April 4, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast indicating partly cloudy to clear skies with hazy conditions and continued temperature moderation from recent drops observed on April 3. International models like those powering timeanddate.com and Weather.com align closely, projecting highs of 22–23°C amid light westerly winds (10–16 km/h) that enhance sea-breeze cooling along the Mediterranean coast, consistent with early April climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the NOAA measurement site for resolution. No precipitation is expected, but minor forecast divergences could arise from evolving haze or wind shifts; monitor IMS updates through midday April 4 for potential adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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