Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum 2-meter temperatures of 22-25°C near Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA reporting station for market resolution—driving trader consensus toward 22°C at 62.5% implied probability and 23°C at 35.5%, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown. Yesterday's 25°C peak gave way to overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds, moderating daytime heating via residual moisture and hazy skies with lighter winds. Spring Mediterranean climatology supports highs around 22-24°C on average, though persistent low clouds or reduced insolation could cap peaks lower, while clearer skies might push toward 24°C. Intraday observations and afternoon model updates remain key as uncertainty lingers in cloud evolution and upper-air patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
22°C 66%
23°C 35%
24°C 7.0%
25°C or higher <1%
$39,253 Vol.
$39,253 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
66%
23°C
30%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 66%
23°C 35%
24°C 7.0%
25°C or higher <1%
$39,253 Vol.
$39,253 Vol.
2026/04/03
19°C
$3,442 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,224 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,654 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,714 Vol.
66%
23°C
$3,469 Vol.
30%
24°C
$3,287 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$3,984 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum 2-meter temperatures of 22-25°C near Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA reporting station for market resolution—driving trader consensus toward 22°C at 62.5% implied probability and 23°C at 35.5%, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown. Yesterday's 25°C peak gave way to overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds, moderating daytime heating via residual moisture and hazy skies with lighter winds. Spring Mediterranean climatology supports highs around 22-24°C on average, though persistent low clouds or reduced insolation could cap peaks lower, while clearer skies might push toward 24°C. Intraday observations and afternoon model updates remain key as uncertainty lingers in cloud evolution and upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
音量
$39,253終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum 2-meter temperatures of 22-25°C near Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA reporting station for market resolution—driving trader consensus toward 22°C at 62.5% implied probability and 23°C at 35.5%, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown. Yesterday's 25°C peak gave way to overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds, moderating daytime heating via residual moisture and hazy skies with lighter winds. Spring Mediterranean climatology supports highs around 22-24°C on average, though persistent low clouds or reduced insolation could cap peaks lower, while clearer skies might push toward 24°C. Intraday observations and afternoon model updates remain key as uncertainty lingers in cloud evolution and upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$39,253終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project maximum 2-meter temperatures of 22-25°C near Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA reporting station for market resolution—driving trader consensus toward 22°C at 62.5% implied probability and 23°C at 35.5%, reflecting a post-heatwave cooldown. Yesterday's 25°C peak gave way to overnight lows of 17°C amid 88% humidity and passing clouds, moderating daytime heating via residual moisture and hazy skies with lighter winds. Spring Mediterranean climatology supports highs around 22-24°C on average, though persistent low clouds or reduced insolation could cap peaks lower, while clearer skies might push toward 24°C. Intraday observations and afternoon model updates remain key as uncertainty lingers in cloud evolution and upper-air patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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