Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 5 around 21-22°C under sunny conditions with northerly winds at 15 km/h. This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend—highs dropping from 23°C on April 3-4 amid persistent cool Mediterranean air masses and sea breeze effects moderating daytime peaks below the early April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover persistence and wind shear intensity, which could shave or add 1°C; 20°C gains traction if overcast lingers, while 23°C requires unexpected ridging. New 12z model runs and IMS updates expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
4月5日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
21℃ 31%
22°C 31%
20℃ 16%
23℃ 12%
16℃以下
2%
17℃
6%
18℃
7%
19℃
11%
20℃
16%
21℃
31%
22°C
31%
23℃
12%
24°C
7%
25℃
4%
26℃以上
1%
21℃ 31%
22°C 31%
20℃ 16%
23℃ 12%
16℃以下
2%
17℃
6%
18℃
7%
19℃
11%
20℃
16%
21℃
31%
22°C
31%
23℃
12%
24°C
7%
25℃
4%
26℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 5 around 21-22°C under sunny conditions with northerly winds at 15 km/h. This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend—highs dropping from 23°C on April 3-4 amid persistent cool Mediterranean air masses and sea breeze effects moderating daytime peaks below the early April climatological average of 23°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover persistence and wind shear intensity, which could shave or add 1°C; 20°C gains traction if overcast lingers, while 23°C requires unexpected ridging. New 12z model runs and IMS updates expected within 24 hours may refine the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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