Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$231,907 Vol.
$231,907 Vol.
2026/04/02
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$231,907 Vol.
$231,907 Vol.
2026/04/02
19°C or below
$78,614 Vol.
No
20°C
$21,611 Vol.
No
21°C
$26,672 Vol.
No
22°C
$23,822 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,262 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,446 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,253 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$11,889 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,823 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,727 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$11,787 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$231,907終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$231,907終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問