Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for lingering showers and thunderstorms following a cold front's arrival Saturday night, which will cap peak heating under persistent cloud cover and 30-50% precipitation chances. Recent forecast updates from April 2 emphasize a marginal risk of severe storms Saturday, with Sunday's cooler, more seasonal conditions (historical early April average ~78°F) hinging on frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast skies tilt toward 68-71°F. NOAA model ensembles show a 2-4°F spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs today and NWS afternoon briefing for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
18%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
57°F or below
$586 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$684 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$218 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$185 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$174 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$439 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$406 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$383 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$237 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$232 Vol.
14%
76°F or higher
$692 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for lingering showers and thunderstorms following a cold front's arrival Saturday night, which will cap peak heating under persistent cloud cover and 30-50% precipitation chances. Recent forecast updates from April 2 emphasize a marginal risk of severe storms Saturday, with Sunday's cooler, more seasonal conditions (historical early April average ~78°F) hinging on frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast skies tilt toward 68-71°F. NOAA model ensembles show a 2-4°F spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs today and NWS afternoon briefing for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
音量
$4,235終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for lingering showers and thunderstorms following a cold front's arrival Saturday night, which will cap peak heating under persistent cloud cover and 30-50% precipitation chances. Recent forecast updates from April 2 emphasize a marginal risk of severe storms Saturday, with Sunday's cooler, more seasonal conditions (historical early April average ~78°F) hinging on frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast skies tilt toward 68-71°F. NOAA model ensembles show a 2-4°F spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs today and NWS afternoon briefing for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,235終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for lingering showers and thunderstorms following a cold front's arrival Saturday night, which will cap peak heating under persistent cloud cover and 30-50% precipitation chances. Recent forecast updates from April 2 emphasize a marginal risk of severe storms Saturday, with Sunday's cooler, more seasonal conditions (historical early April average ~78°F) hinging on frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast skies tilt toward 68-71°F. NOAA model ensembles show a 2-4°F spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud breaks and boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs today and NWS afternoon briefing for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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