Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Miami's highest temperature on April 7, with model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF showing spreads around the early April climatological normal of 81–83°F. National Weather Service guidance and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs of 77–82°F under persistent high pressure and typical sea breeze influences, favoring the 78–83°F bins at 25–26% implied probabilities each, while outliers like 94°F+ or 75°F- capture risks from potential upper-level troughs or delayed mixing. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks indicate near-normal temperatures for Florida in April 2026 amid neutral ENSO conditions, but daily variability in cloud cover and wind shear differentiates outcomes. Watch for updated 00z/12z model runs and NWS Miami discussions through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 7?
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
5%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
75°F or below
$13 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$27 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$208 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$189 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$185 Vol.
2%
94°F or higher
$169 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Miami's highest temperature on April 7, with model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF showing spreads around the early April climatological normal of 81–83°F. National Weather Service guidance and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs of 77–82°F under persistent high pressure and typical sea breeze influences, favoring the 78–83°F bins at 25–26% implied probabilities each, while outliers like 94°F+ or 75°F- capture risks from potential upper-level troughs or delayed mixing. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks indicate near-normal temperatures for Florida in April 2026 amid neutral ENSO conditions, but daily variability in cloud cover and wind shear differentiates outcomes. Watch for updated 00z/12z model runs and NWS Miami discussions through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$803終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Miami's highest temperature on April 7, with model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF showing spreads around the early April climatological normal of 81–83°F. National Weather Service guidance and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs of 77–82°F under persistent high pressure and typical sea breeze influences, favoring the 78–83°F bins at 25–26% implied probabilities each, while outliers like 94°F+ or 75°F- capture risks from potential upper-level troughs or delayed mixing. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks indicate near-normal temperatures for Florida in April 2026 amid neutral ENSO conditions, but daily variability in cloud cover and wind shear differentiates outcomes. Watch for updated 00z/12z model runs and NWS Miami discussions through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$803終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Miami's highest temperature on April 7, with model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF showing spreads around the early April climatological normal of 81–83°F. National Weather Service guidance and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs of 77–82°F under persistent high pressure and typical sea breeze influences, favoring the 78–83°F bins at 25–26% implied probabilities each, while outliers like 94°F+ or 75°F- capture risks from potential upper-level troughs or delayed mixing. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks indicate near-normal temperatures for Florida in April 2026 amid neutral ENSO conditions, but daily variability in cloud cover and wind shear differentiates outcomes. Watch for updated 00z/12z model runs and NWS Miami discussions through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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