Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 36.5% as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 27.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 82-85°F at Miami International Airport amid a building high-pressure ridge over Florida. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' model runs showing consensus on warm advection and light winds, tempered by sea breeze timing and 20-30% chances of isolated afternoon showers that could cap peaks in the low 80s—historical April 6 averages hover around 82°F with similar variability. Key differentiators include subtle 850 hPa temperature divergences (around 18-20°C) and boundary layer mixing; new 00z/12z runs and NWS updates through April 5 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 6?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
73°F or below
$420 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$169 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$126 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$217 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$531 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$281 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$292 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$272 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$403 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$376 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$387 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 36.5% as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 27.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 82-85°F at Miami International Airport amid a building high-pressure ridge over Florida. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' model runs showing consensus on warm advection and light winds, tempered by sea breeze timing and 20-30% chances of isolated afternoon showers that could cap peaks in the low 80s—historical April 6 averages hover around 82°F with similar variability. Key differentiators include subtle 850 hPa temperature divergences (around 18-20°C) and boundary layer mixing; new 00z/12z runs and NWS updates through April 5 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$3,442終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 36.5% as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 27.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 82-85°F at Miami International Airport amid a building high-pressure ridge over Florida. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' model runs showing consensus on warm advection and light winds, tempered by sea breeze timing and 20-30% chances of isolated afternoon showers that could cap peaks in the low 80s—historical April 6 averages hover around 82°F with similar variability. Key differentiators include subtle 850 hPa temperature divergences (around 18-20°C) and boundary layer mixing; new 00z/12z runs and NWS updates through April 5 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,442終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 82-83°F at 36.5% as the leading outcome for Miami's highest temperature on April 6, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 27.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting highs near 82-85°F at Miami International Airport amid a building high-pressure ridge over Florida. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' model runs showing consensus on warm advection and light winds, tempered by sea breeze timing and 20-30% chances of isolated afternoon showers that could cap peaks in the low 80s—historical April 6 averages hover around 82°F with similar variability. Key differentiators include subtle 850 hPa temperature divergences (around 18-20°C) and boundary layer mixing; new 00z/12z runs and NWS updates through April 5 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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