Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
24°C 32%
25°C 26%
23°C 20%
26°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
21°C or below
7%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
16%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
25°C 26%
23°C 20%
26°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
21°C or below
$84 Vol.
7%
22°C
$122 Vol.
17%
23°C
$117 Vol.
20%
24°C
$91 Vol.
32%
25°C
$68 Vol.
26%
26°C
$69 Vol.
16%
27°C
$77 Vol.
6%
28°C
$74 Vol.
4%
29°C
$93 Vol.
1%
30°C
$458 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
音量
$1,605終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,605終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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