Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations from key Mexico City stations, including Observatorio Central Tacubaya and Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a high of exactly 25°C on April 2, cementing 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly data amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This peak fits April climatology for the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs typically range 24–27°C, consistent with pre-event SMN forecasts of 25–27°C and ensemble model guidance showing limited convective activity. Though observational records provide strong scientific certainty, realistic challenges could arise from rare data revisions if discrepancies emerge between primary and auxiliary sensors, prompting SMN review before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 2?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$50,830 Vol.
$50,830 Vol.
2026/04/02
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$50,830 Vol.
$50,830 Vol.
2026/04/02
20°C or below
$3,538 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,781 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,832 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,101 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,031 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,972 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$4,929 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,969 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,052 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,468 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,156 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations from key Mexico City stations, including Observatorio Central Tacubaya and Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a high of exactly 25°C on April 2, cementing 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly data amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This peak fits April climatology for the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs typically range 24–27°C, consistent with pre-event SMN forecasts of 25–27°C and ensemble model guidance showing limited convective activity. Though observational records provide strong scientific certainty, realistic challenges could arise from rare data revisions if discrepancies emerge between primary and auxiliary sensors, prompting SMN review before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$50,830終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations from key Mexico City stations, including Observatorio Central Tacubaya and Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a high of exactly 25°C on April 2, cementing 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly data amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This peak fits April climatology for the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs typically range 24–27°C, consistent with pre-event SMN forecasts of 25–27°C and ensemble model guidance showing limited convective activity. Though observational records provide strong scientific certainty, realistic challenges could arise from rare data revisions if discrepancies emerge between primary and auxiliary sensors, prompting SMN review before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$50,830終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations from key Mexico City stations, including Observatorio Central Tacubaya and Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a high of exactly 25°C on April 2, cementing 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly data amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This peak fits April climatology for the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs typically range 24–27°C, consistent with pre-event SMN forecasts of 25–27°C and ensemble model guidance showing limited convective activity. Though observational records provide strong scientific certainty, realistic challenges could arise from rare data revisions if discrepancies emerge between primary and auxiliary sensors, prompting SMN review before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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