Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a high temperature of 25–27°C in Mexico City today, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 38% implied probability, closely followed by 26°C (26%) and 28°C (25.7%). This positioning reflects the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which moderates extremes during the dry early April season, combined with clear skies and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating from overnight lows of 10–12°C. AccuWeather's April outlook corroborates daily highs of 24–28°C, consistent with climatological averages around 26°C. Uncertainties include minor model divergences in peak afternoon heating and urban heat effects; intraday updates from Benito Juárez International Airport observations will refine resolution as the market nears close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
27°C 40%
26°C 23%
28°C 16.6%
25°C 9%
$20,024 Vol.
$20,024 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 23%
28°C 16.6%
25°C 9%
$20,024 Vol.
$20,024 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a high temperature of 25–27°C in Mexico City today, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 38% implied probability, closely followed by 26°C (26%) and 28°C (25.7%). This positioning reflects the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which moderates extremes during the dry early April season, combined with clear skies and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating from overnight lows of 10–12°C. AccuWeather's April outlook corroborates daily highs of 24–28°C, consistent with climatological averages around 26°C. Uncertainties include minor model divergences in peak afternoon heating and urban heat effects; intraday updates from Benito Juárez International Airport observations will refine resolution as the market nears close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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