Ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 26-27°C, mirroring trader-implied probabilities of 37.5% for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. The city's high elevation (2,240 meters) and basin topography promote efficient solar warming under clear dry-season skies but cap extremes via frequent thermal inversions, with historical April 4 highs averaging 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Recent showers through early April have slightly cooled soils, tilting odds toward 25-26°C if northerly winds persist, versus 27°C under maximal insolation; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for final guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
26°C 38%
27°C 31%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
20%
26°C
38%
27°C
31%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 38%
27°C 31%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
21°C or below
$344 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$220 Vol.
1%
23°C
$255 Vol.
2%
24°C
$565 Vol.
10%
25°C
$250 Vol.
20%
26°C
$232 Vol.
38%
27°C
$229 Vol.
31%
28°C
$206 Vol.
8%
29°C
$290 Vol.
3%
30°C
$390 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$607 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 26-27°C, mirroring trader-implied probabilities of 37.5% for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. The city's high elevation (2,240 meters) and basin topography promote efficient solar warming under clear dry-season skies but cap extremes via frequent thermal inversions, with historical April 4 highs averaging 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Recent showers through early April have slightly cooled soils, tilting odds toward 25-26°C if northerly winds persist, versus 27°C under maximal insolation; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$3,390終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 26-27°C, mirroring trader-implied probabilities of 37.5% for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. The city's high elevation (2,240 meters) and basin topography promote efficient solar warming under clear dry-season skies but cap extremes via frequent thermal inversions, with historical April 4 highs averaging 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Recent showers through early April have slightly cooled soils, tilting odds toward 25-26°C if northerly winds persist, versus 27°C under maximal insolation; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,390終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETEnsemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 26-27°C, mirroring trader-implied probabilities of 37.5% for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid inherent uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. The city's high elevation (2,240 meters) and basin topography promote efficient solar warming under clear dry-season skies but cap extremes via frequent thermal inversions, with historical April 4 highs averaging 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport. Recent showers through early April have slightly cooled soils, tilting odds toward 25-26°C if northerly winds persist, versus 27°C under maximal insolation; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for final guidance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問