Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 4 indicates a daytime high of 9-12°C amid cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with implied probabilities of 33.5% for 11°C or higher, 20.5% for 9°C, and 18% for 10°C. This reflects spring's volatile patterns, including recent March fluctuations between mild warmth and cool fronts, which have fostered model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover limiting solar insolation, precipitation timing suppressing peaks, and steering currents potentially introducing drier air. Hourly updates from Environment Canada expected today could refine trajectories as boundary layer conditions evolve. Historical April 4 maxima average around 10°C, underscoring the tight range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
11°C or higher 34%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
8°C 18%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
2026/04/04
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
7%
8°C
18%
9°C
20%
10°C
19%
11°C or higher
34%
11°C or higher 34%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
8°C 18%
$36,674 Vol.
$36,674 Vol.
2026/04/04
1°C or below
$5,205 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$2,939 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$2,283 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$2,955 Vol.
1%
5°C
$2,948 Vol.
1%
6°C
$2,506 Vol.
4%
7°C
$3,100 Vol.
7%
8°C
$3,616 Vol.
18%
9°C
$2,812 Vol.
20%
10°C
$3,081 Vol.
19%
11°C or higher
$5,257 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 4 indicates a daytime high of 9-12°C amid cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with implied probabilities of 33.5% for 11°C or higher, 20.5% for 9°C, and 18% for 10°C. This reflects spring's volatile patterns, including recent March fluctuations between mild warmth and cool fronts, which have fostered model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover limiting solar insolation, precipitation timing suppressing peaks, and steering currents potentially introducing drier air. Hourly updates from Environment Canada expected today could refine trajectories as boundary layer conditions evolve. Historical April 4 maxima average around 10°C, underscoring the tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
音量
$36,674終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 4 indicates a daytime high of 9-12°C amid cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with implied probabilities of 33.5% for 11°C or higher, 20.5% for 9°C, and 18% for 10°C. This reflects spring's volatile patterns, including recent March fluctuations between mild warmth and cool fronts, which have fostered model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover limiting solar insolation, precipitation timing suppressing peaks, and steering currents potentially introducing drier air. Hourly updates from Environment Canada expected today could refine trajectories as boundary layer conditions evolve. Historical April 4 maxima average around 10°C, underscoring the tight range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$36,674終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETEnvironment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on April 4 indicates a daytime high of 9-12°C amid cloudy skies and a 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with implied probabilities of 33.5% for 11°C or higher, 20.5% for 9°C, and 18% for 10°C. This reflects spring's volatile patterns, including recent March fluctuations between mild warmth and cool fronts, which have fostered model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover limiting solar insolation, precipitation timing suppressing peaks, and steering currents potentially introducing drier air. Hourly updates from Environment Canada expected today could refine trajectories as boundary layer conditions evolve. Historical April 4 maxima average around 10°C, underscoring the tight range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問