Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a high of 12°C in London on April 5 under sunny intervals marred by scattered showers and gusty winds up to 38 mph, driving trader consensus toward 13°C (37.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 14°C (20.5%) and 12°C (18.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects the influence of Atlantic low-pressure system Storm Dave, which spares southern England its worst but introduces cloud cover and precipitation limiting peak warming, following milder highs of 15°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4. Early April climatology supports these subdued temperatures around 12-13°C on average, though timing of showers introduces uncertainty; watch daily updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution at London City Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 43%
14°C 20%
12°C 19%
11°C 7%
$10,164 Vol.
$10,164 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
19%
13°C
43%
14°C
20%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 43%
14°C 20%
12°C 19%
11°C 7%
$10,164 Vol.
$10,164 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
19%
13°C
43%
14°C
20%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a high of 12°C in London on April 5 under sunny intervals marred by scattered showers and gusty winds up to 38 mph, driving trader consensus toward 13°C (37.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 14°C (20.5%) and 12°C (18.5%) close behind. This positioning reflects the influence of Atlantic low-pressure system Storm Dave, which spares southern England its worst but introduces cloud cover and precipitation limiting peak warming, following milder highs of 15°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4. Early April climatology supports these subdued temperatures around 12-13°C on average, though timing of showers introduces uncertainty; watch daily updates from the Met Office for potential shifts ahead of resolution at London City Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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