Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 21–23°C for Busan’s highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid inherent model uncertainty typical of spring weather transitions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance projects sunny skies with a 26°C peak around 3 p.m. local time following rain on the 17th, driven by post-frontal high-pressure ridging and light northerly winds enabling solar heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather (23°C, morning showers then cloudy) and TimeandDate (21°C, early showers overcast) imply lingering cloud cover and cooler advection, capping highs below 24°C—factors differentiating the tight race. Recent mild conditions, with April 16’s observed 22°C high, exceed mid-April climatology (~18°C), but traders await KMA’s next update for resolution-defining station data at Gimhae or Saha.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
22°C 34%
21°C 24%
23°C 23%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
24%
22°C
34%
23°C
23%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 34%
21°C 24%
23°C 23%
20°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
15°C or below
$820 Vol.
1%
16°C
$711 Vol.
1%
17°C
$38 Vol.
2%
18°C
$7 Vol.
3%
19°C
$11 Vol.
5%
20°C
$19 Vol.
15%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$15 Vol.
34%
23°C
$224 Vol.
23%
24°C
$994 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$406 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 21–23°C for Busan’s highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid inherent model uncertainty typical of spring weather transitions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance projects sunny skies with a 26°C peak around 3 p.m. local time following rain on the 17th, driven by post-frontal high-pressure ridging and light northerly winds enabling solar heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather (23°C, morning showers then cloudy) and TimeandDate (21°C, early showers overcast) imply lingering cloud cover and cooler advection, capping highs below 24°C—factors differentiating the tight race. Recent mild conditions, with April 16’s observed 22°C high, exceed mid-April climatology (~18°C), but traders await KMA’s next update for resolution-defining station data at Gimhae or Saha.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$3,240終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 21–23°C for Busan’s highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid inherent model uncertainty typical of spring weather transitions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance projects sunny skies with a 26°C peak around 3 p.m. local time following rain on the 17th, driven by post-frontal high-pressure ridging and light northerly winds enabling solar heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather (23°C, morning showers then cloudy) and TimeandDate (21°C, early showers overcast) imply lingering cloud cover and cooler advection, capping highs below 24°C—factors differentiating the tight race. Recent mild conditions, with April 16’s observed 22°C high, exceed mid-April climatology (~18°C), but traders await KMA’s next update for resolution-defining station data at Gimhae or Saha.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,240終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 21–23°C for Busan’s highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts amid inherent model uncertainty typical of spring weather transitions. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance projects sunny skies with a 26°C peak around 3 p.m. local time following rain on the 17th, driven by post-frontal high-pressure ridging and light northerly winds enabling solar heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather (23°C, morning showers then cloudy) and TimeandDate (21°C, early showers overcast) imply lingering cloud cover and cooler advection, capping highs below 24°C—factors differentiating the tight race. Recent mild conditions, with April 16’s observed 22°C high, exceed mid-April climatology (~18°C), but traders await KMA’s next update for resolution-defining station data at Gimhae or Saha.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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