Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日の釜山の最高気温は?
29°C 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
はい
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
29°C 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
はい
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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