Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
4月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
21°C 100.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 Vol.
$48,512 Vol.
2026/04/15
15℃以下
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
はい
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C以上
いいえ
21°C 100.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 Vol.
$48,512 Vol.
2026/04/15
15℃以下
$1,054 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$2,147 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$15,710 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$7,141 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$4,147 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$3,729 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$3,635 Vol.
はい
22°C
$5,893 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$2,568 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$895 Vol.
いいえ
25°C以上
$1,593 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
音量
$48,512終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$48,512終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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