The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
新規
$11,473 Vol.
新規
$11,473 Vol.
2026/04/15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
新規
$11,473 Vol.
新規
$11,473 Vol.
2026/04/15
15°C or below
$661 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$896 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,699 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$498 Vol.
6%
19°C
$117 Vol.
18%
20°C
$75 Vol.
27%
21°C
$234 Vol.
26%
22°C
$321 Vol.
13%
23°C
$170 Vol.
7%
24°C
$293 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$511 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
音量
$11,473終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,473終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThe South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問