Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 Vol.
$106,786 Vol.
2026/06/04
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 Vol.
$106,786 Vol.
2026/06/04
30°C or below
$23,071 Vol.
No
31°C
$24,259 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,662 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$8,231 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,743 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,518 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,219 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,411 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,574 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,158 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$940 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$106,786終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$106,786終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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