Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日の成都の最高気温は?
37°C 100%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 Vol.
$94,332 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
37°C 100%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 Vol.
$94,332 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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