Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 8?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
2026/05/08
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,806 Vol.
$66,806 Vol.
2026/05/08
20°C or below
$3,711 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,243 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,528 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,865 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,630 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,279 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,605 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,326 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,394 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,862 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$6,361 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
音量
$66,806終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$66,806終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm today's highest temperature reached exactly 24°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome as traders align with verified surface measurements from the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks despite early model guidance from NOAA analogs and ECMWF ensembles hinting at 25°C potential under partial clearing. This cooler-than-typical May reading—below the 26°C monthly average—reflects a synoptic trough bringing moist northerly flow; final resolution hinges on any post-audit data review, though revisions are rare absent equipment anomalies, solidifying trader consensus backed by real capital.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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