Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月6日のモスクワの最高気温は？
7月6日のモスクワの最高気温は？
22℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 Vol.
$81,369 Vol.
2026/07/06
18℃以下
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
はい
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃以上
いいえ
22℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 Vol.
$81,369 Vol.
2026/07/06
18℃以下
$3,183 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$4,146 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$4,911 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$5,696 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$31,162 Vol.
はい
23℃
$15,876 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$4,012 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$3,624 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$3,217 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$3,149 Vol.
いいえ
28℃以上
$2,394 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$81,369終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$81,369終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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