Forecasts for Chengdu on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 29–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and light northeasterly winds. Multiple regional models show this range due to typical early-autumn subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where clear skies promote strong daytime heating while moderate humidity (around 45–55%) and basin topography moderate extremes. Trader consensus near 50% across 27–37°C thresholds reflects ensemble spread in short-range guidance, with lower odds on 34°C highlighting limited upside potential absent unusual radiative forcing or delayed cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center or CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed maximums.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の成都の最高気温は?
33°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 20%
32°C 18%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
21%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
10%
33°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 20%
32°C 18%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
22%
34°C
21%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts for Chengdu on September 3, 2026, center on highs of 29–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk and light northeasterly winds. Multiple regional models show this range due to typical early-autumn subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where clear skies promote strong daytime heating while moderate humidity (around 45–55%) and basin topography moderate extremes. Trader consensus near 50% across 27–37°C thresholds reflects ensemble spread in short-range guidance, with lower odds on 34°C highlighting limited upside potential absent unusual radiative forcing or delayed cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center or CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed maximums.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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