Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daily highs clustered around 32–34°C amid transitional monsoon retreat. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime radiative heating in the Sichuan Basin, though ensemble spreads and subtle shifts in humidity or timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that narrows probabilities across 33–35°C outcomes. Historical early-September maxima near 29–31°C provide baseline context, with current patterns favoring slightly above-average warmth. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against potential late adjustments from updated CMA guidance or global model runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の成都の最高気温は？
9月2日の成都の最高気温は？
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
28°C or below
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
27%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
19%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
15%
32°C
$15 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$14 Vol.
28%
36°C
$8 Vol.
11%
37°C
$40 Vol.
19%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daily highs clustered around 32–34°C amid transitional monsoon retreat. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime radiative heating in the Sichuan Basin, though ensemble spreads and subtle shifts in humidity or timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that narrows probabilities across 33–35°C outcomes. Historical early-September maxima near 29–31°C provide baseline context, with current patterns favoring slightly above-average warmth. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against potential late adjustments from updated CMA guidance or global model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$82終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daily highs clustered around 32–34°C amid transitional monsoon retreat. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime radiative heating in the Sichuan Basin, though ensemble spreads and subtle shifts in humidity or timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that narrows probabilities across 33–35°C outcomes. Historical early-September maxima near 29–31°C provide baseline context, with current patterns favoring slightly above-average warmth. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against potential late adjustments from updated CMA guidance or global model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$82終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny conditions over Chengdu on September 2, supporting daily highs clustered around 32–34°C amid transitional monsoon retreat. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime radiative heating in the Sichuan Basin, though ensemble spreads and subtle shifts in humidity or timing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that narrows probabilities across 33–35°C outcomes. Historical early-September maxima near 29–31°C provide baseline context, with current patterns favoring slightly above-average warmth. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against potential late adjustments from updated CMA guidance or global model runs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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