Forecast consensus from regional models points to a high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds shifting northerly at 3–4 levels. Stable high pressure and low humidity limit cloud cover and moisture, allowing strong daytime solar heating while coastal breezes moderate peaks. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing, which could nudge the daily maximum across the 29–30°C threshold. Historical early-September averages near 26–27°C underscore the current above-normal warmth driven by this persistent pattern, with traders weighting the close odds between the two leading outcomes based on the latest observational updates and ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日の青島の最高気温は?
29℃ 48%
30℃ 40%
28℃ 9%
31℃ 7%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
9%
29℃
48%
30℃
40%
31℃
7%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C以上
<1%
29℃ 48%
30℃ 40%
28℃ 9%
31℃ 7%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
9%
29℃
48%
30℃
40%
31℃
7%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from regional models points to a high of 29–30°C in Qingdao on September 2 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds shifting northerly at 3–4 levels. Stable high pressure and low humidity limit cloud cover and moisture, allowing strong daytime solar heating while coastal breezes moderate peaks. Minor model spreads arise from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing, which could nudge the daily maximum across the 29–30°C threshold. Historical early-September averages near 26–27°C underscore the current above-normal warmth driven by this persistent pattern, with traders weighting the close odds between the two leading outcomes based on the latest observational updates and ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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