Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on September 3, driven by persistent humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Forecasters highlight a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms, which could further suppress temperature drops depending on timing and intensity. With leading market bins clustered tightly between 68–73 °F, traders are weighing subtle differences in model bias, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-evening wind shifts that might allow brief clearer skies and slightly lower readings. Updated NWS forecasts and next model runs will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のニューヨークの最低気温は?
72~73°F 28%
70〜71°F 26%
68~69°F 25%
74~75°F 15%
63°F以下
8%
64~65°F
3%
66~67°F
14%
68~69°F
25%
70〜71°F
26%
72~73°F
28%
74~75°F
15%
76〜77°F
8%
78〜79°F
1%
80〜81°F
1%
82°F以上
1%
72~73°F 28%
70〜71°F 26%
68~69°F 25%
74~75°F 15%
63°F以下
8%
64~65°F
3%
66~67°F
14%
68~69°F
25%
70〜71°F
26%
72~73°F
28%
74~75°F
15%
76〜77°F
8%
78〜79°F
1%
80〜81°F
1%
82°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on September 3, driven by persistent humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Forecasters highlight a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms, which could further suppress temperature drops depending on timing and intensity. With leading market bins clustered tightly between 68–73 °F, traders are weighing subtle differences in model bias, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-evening wind shifts that might allow brief clearer skies and slightly lower readings. Updated NWS forecasts and next model runs will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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