Trader consensus on the London maximum temperature for September 2 centers on 21–22 °C because the latest short-range ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show tightly clustered solutions around those values, with only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. A lingering high-pressure ridge is expected to limit strong advection while allowing modest daytime heating, though any increase in low-level stratus or a subtle North Sea breeze could cap readings near 21 °C. The 1 °C difference between the two leading outcomes hinges on small timing shifts in diurnal warming and urban heat-island effects within the Greater London area. Updated model cycles and surface observations through the evening of September 1 will provide the next clear signals for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のロンドンの最高気温は?
21°C 37%
22°C 33%
20°C 20%
23°C 8%
$19,035 Vol.
$19,035 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
33%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 33%
20°C 20%
23°C 8%
$19,035 Vol.
$19,035 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
33%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the London maximum temperature for September 2 centers on 21–22 °C because the latest short-range ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show tightly clustered solutions around those values, with only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. A lingering high-pressure ridge is expected to limit strong advection while allowing modest daytime heating, though any increase in low-level stratus or a subtle North Sea breeze could cap readings near 21 °C. The 1 °C difference between the two leading outcomes hinges on small timing shifts in diurnal warming and urban heat-island effects within the Greater London area. Updated model cycles and surface observations through the evening of September 1 will provide the next clear signals for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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