Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月2日のロンドンの最低気温は？
16°C 40%
15°C 38%
13°C 27%
20°C以上 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10℃以下
23%
11℃
22%
12°C
24%
13°C
27%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
33%
17℃
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C以上
27%
16°C 40%
15°C 38%
13°C 27%
20°C以上 27%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
10℃以下
$5 Vol.
23%
11℃
$89 Vol.
22%
12°C
$120 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$173 Vol.
38%
16°C
$90 Vol.
33%
17℃
$11 Vol.
21%
18°C
$45 Vol.
21%
19°C
$40 Vol.
12%
20°C以上
$20 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$593終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$593終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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