Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月31日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
24°C 34%
27°C or higher 29%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
34%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C or higher
29%
24°C 34%
27°C or higher 29%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$3 Vol.
30%
27°C or higher
$6 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$9終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Warsaw highs on August 31 near 26–28 °C under weakening high pressure and southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and only low chances of light showers. This late-summer warmth, supported by recent observations of 25–27 °C peaks on preceding days, underpins the 50 % market-implied probability for 27 °C or higher while keeping cooler buckets at 25 % each. Model consensus shows limited cooling before the period ends, though minor forecast revisions or localized cloud cover could still shift exact maxima within the 23–27 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問