Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures for Los Angeles on August 28 due to increasing onshore flow and marine layer influence following an extreme heat episode, positioning the daily high near 88–94 °F at downtown and airport stations. This supports the market’s leading 84–85 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current model consensus, with 82–83 °F (27.5 %) reflecting stronger sea-breeze effects and 86–87 °F (18.5 %) capturing residual inland warming. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, afternoon wind speeds, and cloud cover that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–4 °F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
8月28日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
84～85°F 48%
82～83°F 28%
86〜87°F 20%
80～81°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
華氏79度以下
1%
80～81°F
6%
82～83°F
28%
84～85°F
48%
86〜87°F
20%
88〜89°F
3%
90〜91°F
3%
92～93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96〜97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
84～85°F 48%
82～83°F 28%
86〜87°F 20%
80～81°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
華氏79度以下
$106 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$77 Vol.
6%
82～83°F
$600 Vol.
28%
84～85°F
$996 Vol.
48%
86〜87°F
$254 Vol.
20%
88〜89°F
$39 Vol.
3%
90〜91°F
$68 Vol.
3%
92～93°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
94〜95°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
96〜97°F
$308 Vol.
<1%
98°F以上
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures for Los Angeles on August 28 due to increasing onshore flow and marine layer influence following an extreme heat episode, positioning the daily high near 88–94 °F at downtown and airport stations. This supports the market’s leading 84–85 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current model consensus, with 82–83 °F (27.5 %) reflecting stronger sea-breeze effects and 86–87 °F (18.5 %) capturing residual inland warming. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, afternoon wind speeds, and cloud cover that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–4 °F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$3,021終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures for Los Angeles on August 28 due to increasing onshore flow and marine layer influence following an extreme heat episode, positioning the daily high near 88–94 °F at downtown and airport stations. This supports the market’s leading 84–85 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current model consensus, with 82–83 °F (27.5 %) reflecting stronger sea-breeze effects and 86–87 °F (18.5 %) capturing residual inland warming. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, afternoon wind speeds, and cloud cover that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–4 °F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,021終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate moderating temperatures for Los Angeles on August 28 due to increasing onshore flow and marine layer influence following an extreme heat episode, positioning the daily high near 88–94 °F at downtown and airport stations. This supports the market’s leading 84–85 °F bin (47.5 % implied probability) as the most likely outcome under current model consensus, with 82–83 °F (27.5 %) reflecting stronger sea-breeze effects and 86–87 °F (18.5 %) capturing residual inland warming. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, afternoon wind speeds, and cloud cover that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–4 °F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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