Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月27日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14°C 52%
13°C 31%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
31%
14°C
52%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 31%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
8°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$361 Vol.
1%
11°C
$74 Vol.
1%
12°C
$336 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,003 Vol.
31%
14°C
$1,633 Vol.
52%
15°C
$1,259 Vol.
9%
16°C
$67 Vol.
3%
17°C
$135 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$5,871終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,871終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問