National Weather Service and model consensus for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 70-72°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Westerly winds of 15-25 mph and possible morning stratus keep readings close to seasonal norms of about 69°F, with limited potential for brief clearing to push into the mid-70s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70-73°F brackets because recent runs show minimal day-to-day shift and no inland heat advection to overcome the cool Pacific influence. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind timing creates the tight clustering between 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月25日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
72～73°F 31%
70〜71°F 26%
74〜75°F 23%
68～69°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
63°F以下
2%
64～65°F
3%
66～67°F
6%
68～69°F
13%
70〜71°F
26%
72～73°F
31%
74〜75°F
23%
76～77°F
9%
78〜79°F
3%
80～81°F
3%
82°F以上
6%
72～73°F 31%
70〜71°F 26%
74〜75°F 23%
68～69°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
63°F以下
$10 Vol.
2%
64～65°F
$20 Vol.
3%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68～69°F
$30 Vol.
13%
70〜71°F
$7 Vol.
26%
72～73°F
$58 Vol.
31%
74〜75°F
$119 Vol.
23%
76～77°F
$2 Vol.
9%
78〜79°F
$70 Vol.
3%
80～81°F
$59 Vol.
3%
82°F以上
$59 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and model consensus for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 70-72°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Westerly winds of 15-25 mph and possible morning stratus keep readings close to seasonal norms of about 69°F, with limited potential for brief clearing to push into the mid-70s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70-73°F brackets because recent runs show minimal day-to-day shift and no inland heat advection to overcome the cool Pacific influence. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind timing creates the tight clustering between 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$435終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and model consensus for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 70-72°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Westerly winds of 15-25 mph and possible morning stratus keep readings close to seasonal norms of about 69°F, with limited potential for brief clearing to push into the mid-70s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70-73°F brackets because recent runs show minimal day-to-day shift and no inland heat advection to overcome the cool Pacific influence. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind timing creates the tight clustering between 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$435終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNational Weather Service and model consensus for San Francisco on August 25 point to a high near 70-72°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Westerly winds of 15-25 mph and possible morning stratus keep readings close to seasonal norms of about 69°F, with limited potential for brief clearing to push into the mid-70s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 70-73°F brackets because recent runs show minimal day-to-day shift and no inland heat advection to overcome the cool Pacific influence. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind timing creates the tight clustering between 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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