Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a high of 29–31°C for Milan on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Stable high pressure supports daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud interference, while urban heat island effects and low humidity near 60% could push afternoon peaks toward 30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing, differentiating outcomes around the 28–31°C range based on exact solar insolation and timing of any scattered clouds. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のミラノの最高気温は?
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
28°C 16%
27°C 12%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
7%
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
28°C 16%
27°C 12%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a high of 29–31°C for Milan on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Stable high pressure supports daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud interference, while urban heat island effects and low humidity near 60% could push afternoon peaks toward 30°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing, differentiating outcomes around the 28–31°C range based on exact solar insolation and timing of any scattered clouds. Updated short-range forecasts in the next 24 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問