Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のダラスの最高気温は?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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