Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月24日のマドリードの最低気温は？
28°C以上 91%
18°C or below 52%
19°C 19%
24°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
52%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
11%
22°C
11%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27℃
19%
28°C以上
91%
28°C以上 91%
18°C or below 52%
19°C 19%
24°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
52%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$4 Vol.
10%
24°C
$5 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
19%
26°C
$5 Vol.
19%
27℃
$5 Vol.
19%
28°C以上
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
音量
$29終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$29終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問