Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月24日のマドリードの最高気温は？
28°C 50%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
50%
29°C
20%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C以上
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
23°C or below
$47 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$36 Vol.
3%
26°C
$20 Vol.
8%
27°C
$285 Vol.
24%
28°C
$108 Vol.
50%
29°C
$140 Vol.
20%
30°C
$15 Vol.
6%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
音量
$686終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$686終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on August 24, with maximum temperatures expected in the 26–29°C range due to increased cloud cover, stronger southwesterly winds, and advection of cooler Atlantic air following hotter conditions (32–34°C highs) on August 22–23. This pattern shift, including possible light showers and higher humidity, suppresses peak heating compared to the recent warm spell and aligns with historical August averages around 31°C while explaining the market's strong clustering around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and surface observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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