Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のマドリードの最高気温は?
34°C 46%
33°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
41%
34°C
46%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 41%
32°C 8%
35°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
41%
34°C
46%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid's August 22 maximum temperature near 32–34°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds, driving the tight market split between 33°C and 34°C. Small differences in peak-hour timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily high across that threshold, while ensemble spreads reflect remaining uncertainty in subsidence strength and any late-day cloud development. A cooling trend from mid-August peaks above 35°C supports the lower probabilities for 35°C or higher, with official guidance expected to refine further in the next 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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