Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for Taipei on August 20, with a range of 26–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High solar insolation, weak steering flow, and elevated humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling support this central tendency, while afternoon thundershowers—common in the region—introduce variability by enhancing cloud cover or localized cooling. Model consensus and recent runs align closely around 33–35°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near these outcomes; shifts in convective timing or moisture advection could tip resolution toward either adjacent bin before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日の台北の最高気温は?
34°C 49%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C
34%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
7%
34°C 49%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C
34%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for Taipei on August 20, with a range of 26–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High solar insolation, weak steering flow, and elevated humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling support this central tendency, while afternoon thundershowers—common in the region—introduce variability by enhancing cloud cover or localized cooling. Model consensus and recent runs align closely around 33–35°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities near these outcomes; shifts in convective timing or moisture advection could tip resolution toward either adjacent bin before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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