Recent forecast updates from European models show an approaching upper-level trough moderating temperatures in Milan for August 20, shifting expected highs from the prior 32–34°C range toward 25–27°C amid heightened thunderstorm probability and increased cloud cover. This synoptic evolution, combined with variable convective timing that could limit peak insolation, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Historical late-August variability and ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow sustain uncertainty between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the most recent consensus guidance ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のミラノの最高気温は?
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
19%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from European models show an approaching upper-level trough moderating temperatures in Milan for August 20, shifting expected highs from the prior 32–34°C range toward 25–27°C amid heightened thunderstorm probability and increased cloud cover. This synoptic evolution, combined with variable convective timing that could limit peak insolation, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Historical late-August variability and ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow sustain uncertainty between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the most recent consensus guidance ahead of tomorrow’s final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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