Recent weather model consensus points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires on August 20, with official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather showing daily highs near 14°C amid moderate easterly flow and limited cold-air advection from the south. Trader sentiment favoring 18–20°C outcomes (collectively over 70% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance, where warmer scenarios arise from weaker-than-expected frontal passages or localized warming under partial cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 15–17°C, so the current market spread reflects genuine forecast spread rather than climatological bias, with resolution hinging on the final official maximum reported by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月20日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月20日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
19°C 31%
18°C 27%
20°C 15%
17°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
27%
19°C
31%
20°C
15%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 31%
18°C 27%
20°C 15%
17°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/20
13°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
14°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$139 Vol.
1%
16°C
$202 Vol.
3%
17°C
$123 Vol.
12%
18°C
$107 Vol.
27%
19°C
$69 Vol.
31%
20°C
$94 Vol.
15%
21°C
$8 Vol.
6%
22°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$7 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires on August 20, with official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather showing daily highs near 14°C amid moderate easterly flow and limited cold-air advection from the south. Trader sentiment favoring 18–20°C outcomes (collectively over 70% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance, where warmer scenarios arise from weaker-than-expected frontal passages or localized warming under partial cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 15–17°C, so the current market spread reflects genuine forecast spread rather than climatological bias, with resolution hinging on the final official maximum reported by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
音量
$1,073終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires on August 20, with official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather showing daily highs near 14°C amid moderate easterly flow and limited cold-air advection from the south. Trader sentiment favoring 18–20°C outcomes (collectively over 70% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance, where warmer scenarios arise from weaker-than-expected frontal passages or localized warming under partial cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 15–17°C, so the current market spread reflects genuine forecast spread rather than climatological bias, with resolution hinging on the final official maximum reported by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,073終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETRecent weather model consensus points to a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires on August 20, with official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather showing daily highs near 14°C amid moderate easterly flow and limited cold-air advection from the south. Trader sentiment favoring 18–20°C outcomes (collectively over 70% implied probability) appears driven by uncertainty in short-range ensemble guidance, where warmer scenarios arise from weaker-than-expected frontal passages or localized warming under partial cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 15–17°C, so the current market spread reflects genuine forecast spread rather than climatological bias, with resolution hinging on the final official maximum reported by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Updated model runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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