Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting global models project a daytime high of 33–34°C for Taipei on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating offset by high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Closely matched market odds around these levels reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective showers or variable cloud cover that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily maxima often fluctuate within this narrow band. Traders are watching the next CWA bulletin and updated ECMWF/GFS runs for shifts in steering flow or instability indices that could tip resolution toward either outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日の台北の最高気温は?
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
35°C 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
19%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
15%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
3%
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
35°C 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
19%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
15%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and supporting global models project a daytime high of 33–34°C for Taipei on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with ample solar heating offset by high humidity and urban heat-island effects. Closely matched market odds around these levels reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective showers or variable cloud cover that can cap peak temperatures by 1–2°C, consistent with historical late-August variability where daily maxima often fluctuate within this narrow band. Traders are watching the next CWA bulletin and updated ECMWF/GFS runs for shifts in steering flow or instability indices that could tip resolution toward either outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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